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Table 6 Sensitivity of emissions from loblolly and shortleaf pine wood products to the most influential parameters

From: Modeling wood product carbon flows in southern us pine plantations: implications for carbon storage

Ranking

Parameter

Bounds

Units

µ

µ*

1

DOCf for paper in MSW landfills

0.25–0.93

Portion

− 16.68

16.68

2

Portion of CH4 recovered (R) in MSW landfills

0.4019–0.8019

Portion

9.62

9.62

3

Lifespan of corrugated boxes

0.5–3

Years

8.29

8.29

4

Downcycling to non-structural manufacturing of C&D waste

0–0.129

Portion

− 4.84

4.84

5

Production FF for pulp and paper

0.3746–0.4579

tCO2e emitted/tCO2e in product

− 4.81

4.81

6

Portion of CH4 oxidized (OX) in MSW landfills

0.0221–0.4221

Portion

4.73

4.73

7

Average sawmill efficiency

0.3–0.5

Portion

4.45

4.45

8

DOCf for wood in C&D landfills

0–0.5

Portion

− 4.19

4.19

9

Recycling rate for corrugated boxes

0.814–1

Portion

3.98

3.98

10

Recycling times for corrugated boxes

3–7

Times

3.97

3.97

11

Lifespan of single family home upkeep

12–62

Years

2.77

2.77

12

Pulp mill efficiency

0.79–0.99

Portion

− 2.68

2.68

13

Construction waste

0–0.156

Portion

− 2.61

2.61

14

DOCf for wood in MSW landfills

0–0.5

Portion

− 2.49

2.49

15

Half-life of landfilled paper

12–18

Years

2.4

2.4

  1. DOCf = the fraction of landfilled organic carbon that will decay over time; MSW = municipal solid waste; C&D = construction and demolition; average sawmill efficiency = sawmill efficiency for 33–47 cm saw logs, with smaller logs having − 0.05 efficiency and larger logs having + 0.1 efficiency; the magnitude of µ* indicates the influence of the parameter; the sign of µ indicates the direction of the effect; the bounds indicate the tested range of parameter values (see “Sensitivity analysis” section); the model output of which sensitivity was evaluated was the total (biogenic + fossil fuel) annual emission pulses from southwide loblolly and shortleaf pine harvested wood products produced over 120 years, discounted at 3%; a table of all parameters tested and their sensitivity indices is available in Additional file 1: Table S36