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Table 4 Summary of study conclusions

From: Land use change and forest management effects on soil carbon stocks in the Northeast U.S.

Finding

Confidence

Management, C accounting, & policy considerations

1. Deforestation decreases soil C stocks

H

Soil C losses are largest at the surface of the profile and diminish with depth; declining regional forest cover in recent decades suggest land use change is having increasingly negative effects on the regional forest sector C budget

2. Reforestation increases soil C stocks

H

Soil C gains are largest at the surface of the profile and diminish with depth; across the region, large areas of forest that were once farmed are likely on a trajectory of long-term soil C increase

3. Soil C increases with reforestation vary by site

H

Landform, soil, and vegetation influence O horizon C gains; site-level uncertainty in rates is tied to unknown factors (potentially including past agricultural practices)

4. Forest harvesting does not affect soil C stocks

H

Harvesting in general does not affect soil C; outcomes to the contrary are highly exceptional and not predictable based on natural factors or silvicultural practices

5. O horizon C may be vulnerable to harvest in select settings

M

For Spodosols, northern & boreal tree communities, steep slopes, and S-facing aspects, there is some (highly limited) evidence for O horizon C losses; low-risk-tolerance management may minimize interventions in such settings while increasing them in settings with no evidence for O horizon C losses

6. Existing management guidelines benefit soil C

M

Soil- and water-protecting practices that are already implemented most of the time as best management practices or for legal compliance are not explicitly targeting soil C protection, but are likely promoting it

7. Partial harvest systems require further research

H

Clearcutting is studied far more frequently than it occurs; more research on more extensive partial harvests is needed to better constrain soil C outcomes

8. Soil C is one aspect of forest climate vulnerability

M

Silviculture and soil C management can facilitate forest climate adaptation and mitigation by placing soils, topography, and tree communities in landscape context to define goals and objectives for diverse stands and settings

  1. Confidence ratings indicate high (H) versus medium (M) confidence in strength of inference, based upon the degree of support across data sources