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Table 4 Summary of the tested forest management scenarios

From: Forest carbon stock development following extreme drought-induced dieback of coniferous stands in Central Europe: a CBM-CFS3 model application

Scenarios

Description

Target removal [Mm3/yr]*

Spread of the recent calamity**

Calamity reoccurence ***

Preserving old trees ****

Green

Optimistic scenario with the rapid attenuation of the recent calamity

Species change promoting fir and broadleaves

17

No

No

Yes

Red

Pessimistic scenario with a progressive decrease of the recent calamity until 2030. Species change promoting fir and broadleaves

16

No

No

No

Black

Pessimistic scenario with a slight spread of the recent calamity until 2030 followed by its gradual decline. Species change promoting fir and broadleaves

16

Yes

No

No

Black rep

Pessimistic scenario based on the Black, with a 2-year calamity recurrence every 10 years. Species change promoting fir and broadleaves

16

Yes

Yes

No

  1. *Removal target in Mm3 merchantable wood volume under bark
  2. **Region-specific spread of bark-beetle calamity with a 20% increase in sanitary logging compared to 2021 level
  3. ***Reoccurring calamity as of 2018/2019 every decade
  4. ****Additional biodiversity measure