Table 1 Parameters of the carbon balance model

Extracted wood

dext

0.736

3 main commercial species

[31, 32]^a

\(f_{SW}\)

0.33

No uncertainty reported

[33]^b

Sawnwood decay

\(\lambda _{SW}\)

\(N_{t0}(30,15^2)\)

Positive normal distribution

[30]^c

Damage

\(\theta _0\)

\(N(1.28, 0.48^2)\)

Normal approximation of the posterior

TmFO sites^b

\(\theta _1\)

\(N(0.56,0.14^2)\)

Normal approximation of the posterior

TmFO sites^b

\(\sigma _{dam}\)

\(N(0.37,0.04^2)\)

Normal approximation of the posterior

TmFO sites^b

Logging roads

\(\delta\)

U(0.12, 0.25)

Personal communication

NFS expertise^a

\(\eta\)

exp(17.95)

Decreasing monotonic distribution

[36]^a

Main skid trails

SurfST

U(0.04, 0.10)

Only range of values is reported

[36]^a

\(f_{50}\)

Beta(15.10, 15.32)

Proportion

Guyafor^a

Logging decks

LDeck

\(ACS\times lnN(-6.12,0.58)\)

Positive distribution

Original data^a

LWN decay

fLWN

Beta(1115, 169)

Proportion

Guyafor^a

\(\lambda _1\)

\(N(0.069,0.028^2)\)

Normal approximation of the posterior

Guyafor^a

\(\lambda _2\)

\(N(0.198,0.074^2)\)

Normal approximation of the posterior

Guyafor^a

\(\pi _1\)

\(N(0.512,0.032^2)\)

Normal approximation of the posterior

Guyafor^a

\(\sigma _{LWN}\)

\(N(0.015,0.0035^2)\)

Normal approximation of the posterior

Guyafor^a

FWN decay

\(\lambda _{FWN}\)

\(N(0.19, 0.026^2)\)

Reported distribution

[37]^c

Forest recovery

\(\alpha\)

\(N(1.100, 0.03^2)\)

Reported distribution

[13]^c

Regeneration

\(\mu _0\)

\(N(-4.505,0.124^2)\)

Maximum likelihood estimate

Arbocel^a

\(\mu _1\)

\(N(1.085,0.038^2)\)

Maximum likelihood estimate

Arbocel^a

\(\varphi\)

490.7

Maximum likelihood estimate

Arbocel^a