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Table 3 The econometric model for a BAU RL

From: Assessing data availability for the development of REDD-plus national reference levels

FOR ( t ) = 21274.88 ( 1.864 ) + 0.575 ( 2.562 ) * FOR ( t − 1 ) − 0.918 ( − 8.655 ) * FA ( t ) + 0.501 ( 2.036 ) * FA ( t − 1 ) − 0.877 ( − 9.895 ) * UNC ( t ) + 0.439 ( 1.808 ) * UNC ( t − 1 ) − 18.514 ( − 0.541 ) * D ( t )
(adj. R 2 : 0.999; S.E.: 31.956)
FA ( t ) = 3745.355 ( 3.956 ) + 0.816 ( 15.248 ) * FA ( t − 1 ) − 22.064 ( − 2.216 ) * PDT ( t ) + 5.315 ( 1.843 ) * GDPA ( t ) − 0.0460 ( − 0.888 ) * NPWS ( t )
(adj. R 2 : 0.950; S.E.: 109.500)
UNC ( t ) = 4009.106 ( 2.405 ) + 0.734 ( 6.646 ) * UNC ( t − 1 ) + 0.325 ( 2.820 ) * GDPN ( t ) + 79.238 ( 0.803 ) * D ( t )
(adj. R 2 : 0.972; S.E.: 131.306)
  1. Where: FOR, forest area; t, year; FA, area of farmland; UNC, area of unclassified land; D, a dummy variable; PDT, productivity for major agricultural crops; GDPA, GDP in agricultural sector; NPWS, area of national parks and wildlife sanctuaries; GDPN, GDP in non-agricultural sector
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Carbon Balance and Management

ISSN: 1750-0680

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