Table 3 The econometric model for a BAU RL

${\text{FA}}_{(\text{t})}=\underset{(3.956)}{3745.355}+\underset{(15.248)}{0.816}*{\text{FA}}_{(\text{t}-1)}\underset{(-2.216)}{-22.064}*{\text{PDT}}_{(\text{t})}+\underset{(1.843)}{5.315}*{\text{GDPA}}_{(\text{t})}\underset{(-0.888)}{-0.0460}*{\text{NPWS}}_{(\text{t})}$

(adj. R ² : 0.950; S.E.: 109.500)

${\text{UNC}}_{(\text{t})}=\underset{(2.405)}{4009.106}+\underset{(6.646)}{0.734}*{\text{UNC}}_{(\text{t}-1)}+\underset{(2.820)}{0.325}*{\text{GDPN}}_{(\text{t})}+\underset{(0.803)}{79.238}*{\text{D}}_{(\text{t})}$

(adj. R ² : 0.972; S.E.: 131.306)